Statement: "Every time I wash my car, it rains." This reasoning is flawed because it
Correct answer: A. assumes a causal link between unrelated events, ignoring the times it rained without washing
- A. assumes a causal link between unrelated events, ignoring the times it rained without washing
- B. uses an unreliable weather forecast
- C. contains a contradiction
- D. generalises from an authority
Explanation
The speaker notices only the cases that fit the pattern and overlooks the many occasions when it rained without a wash or a wash was followed by sunshine. This selective attention is confirmation bias. A fair test would count all four possible combinations of the two events.
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About Critical Thinking
Critical thinking examines how conclusions follow from evidence, including claims, assumptions, arguments, inferences and relevant facts. Questions ask you to identify hidden assumptions, distinguish strong from weak evidence, assess cause and effect, recognise common reasoning errors, and decide which statement strengthens or weakens an argument.
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