Statement: "Every time I wash my car, it rains." This reasoning is flawed because it
- A. assumes a causal link between unrelated events, ignoring the times it rained without washing
- B. uses an unreliable weather forecast
- C. contains a contradiction
- D. generalises from an authority
Explanation
The speaker notices only the cases that fit the pattern and overlooks the many occasions when it rained without a wash or a wash was followed by sunshine. This selective attention is confirmation bias. A fair test would count all four possible combinations of the two events.
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