The conjunction fallacy is a tendency to:
Correct answer: D. believe that the odds of two uncertain events happening together are greater than the odds of either event happening alone
- A. underestimate the odds of a chance even if that event hasn't occurred recently
- B. overestimate the odds of a chance event if that even hasn't occurred recently
- C. draw general conclusions based on a few isolated cases
- D. believe that the odds of two uncertain events happening together are greater than the odds of either event happening alone
Explanation
The conjunction fallacy occurs when people judge two events occurring together as more likely than either event alone, even though a conjunction cannot be more probable than its individual parts. The other choices describe the gambler’s fallacy or overgeneralization.
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