On Monday, the meteorologist forecast a 20 percent chance of rain, so Sharmila took her umbrella to work. On Friday, he reported an 80 percent chance than it would not rain, so Sharmila left her umbrella at home. Sharmila's behavior illustrates the impact of:
Correct answer: D. the framing effect
- A. the representative heuristic
- B. the belief perseverance phenomenon
- C. overconfidence
- D. the framing effect
Explanation
The numerical information is equivalent: a 20% chance of rain means an 80% chance of no rain. Sharmila’s different actions result from how the same probability was framed.
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