Moderate

The rational-expectation hypothesis suggests that the forecasts that people make concerning future inflation rates ?

Correct answer: D. are correct on average, but are subject to errors that are distributed randomly

  • A. consistently overestimate the actual rate of inflation in the future.
  • B. are always correct
  • C. consistently underestimate the actual rate of inflation in the future
  • D. are correct on average, but are subject to errors that are distributed randomly

Explanation

Rational expectations do not imply perfect forecasts; people use available information, so their errors may occur but should not show a systematic bias. Thus forecasts are correct on average with randomly distributed errors.

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